Deja Vu – Recession or Soft Landing?

Check out the TGIF 2 Minutes (cut & pasted below) from September 2022 when nearly everyone – especially the media – was saying the US was already in a recession. Today, the potential recession scenario seems even more compelling but somehow the US economy has crept along.

Currently in 2023 and in times like this, it pays to keep a sharp eye on spending and debt levels while maintaining a long-term outlook with savings and investments. If the US does creep or crash into an actual recession, emergency funds with calculated levels of cash can soften the blow. The following points are worth reiterating.

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More Year-Ahead Tax Planning

Following on last week’s 2023 Year-End Tax Planning come several key tax moves to consider over the next year or two. These moves do NOT need to be made by year-end 2023 but still need to be top of mind, especially for those in higher tax brackets and those having accumulated significant savings.

Plus, for those approaching retirement and looking to accumulate tax-free monies down the line, there are considerations too. Why bring up this topic now? Because the 2017 tax cuts, set to expire in 2025, did lower the top tax bracket AND expanded the very reasonable 24% tax bracket. Use the lower brackets while they still exist.

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Year-End Tax Planning 2023

Year-end tax planning is a sort of double-event this year, due to 1) the approaching 2023 year-end, and 2) the 2017 TCJA tax cuts expiring at the end of 2025 (sooner than it sounds) – meaning limited time to take advantage of Roth IRA conversions and certain gifting strategies. There are a number of items and trust strategies that can be planned in advance. This week will be Part 1 and next week Part 2.

Part 1 includes basic, yearly items that can be addressed in these final months of 2023:

  1. Have you maxed out your 401k? Many people do not know they can temporarily increase 401k contributions through December 31st to reach the $22,500maximum contribution (those age 50 and older get an extra $7,500 catch-up contribution, for a total of $30,000). Lots of 401k or 403b plans allow participants to contribute 25-30% – or even 100% of pay – and then revert to a lower contribution rate on January 1st of next year.
  • These 401k contributions can be tax-deductible unless you are contributing to a Roth 401k (which can be an excellent idea too).
  • It is not too late!

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