Elections, Debates & Markets

As this edition of TGIF 2 Minutes was written prior to the first US Presidential debate, one piece of the “proof” will already be in the pudding for readers post-debate on Friday morning. Though not much should matter to markets related to the debate.

For the sake of thought and discussion elections can matter to stock and bond markets in the short- to intermediate-term. Debates – and State of the Union speeches – may (and may not) matter in the short-term as well. Big-picture policies like taxes, healthcare (drug prices and insurance coverage), social security, Medicare policy, government spending and more… these are all mentioned in presidential debates and speeches.

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Mid-Year & Critical Decisions

Mid-Year is an important time to review several significant saving and spending decisions, possibly affecting taxes too. There are slightly over 6 months remaining in the tax year – enough time to make a meaningful difference. Consider:

  • Amounts being deferred from compensation pre- or post-tax into 401k and other retirement accounts (and whether to max out?)
  • Savings goals versus reality
  • Savings goals in need of formation from scratch
  • College savings account contributions
  • Creating and funding Trusts

These and other important decisions can be evaluated and adjusted with just over half a year remaining to accomplish goals or mini-goals.

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Getting Paid to Take Risk

In true TGIF 2 Minutes fashion, a short note today – with further thoughts to follow.

A week ago, I had the distinct honor to set foot onto “Omaha Beach” in Normandy, France to recognize the 80th anniversary of the Allied Troops storming that beach on June 6, 1944, in the name of (future) freedom – and potential success – for multiple generations of free people around the world. The experience and the trip surrounding the experience left an impression that will not soon wear off.

Les Braves Omaha Beach Memorial on the Beach in Saint-Laurent-sur-Mer, France.

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Thank You to Our D-Day Heroes

Today on the 80th anniversary of “the Longest Day”, a day that on June 6, 1944, played large in the freedoms our world enjoys to this moment, Thank You to the heroes of the Allied forces and their families for their ultimate sacrifice. May we never forget or take for granted our way of life.

God bless the memory of these D-Day heroes and may we pause in gratitude, giving true meaning to the phrase, “TGIF”, tomorrow.

 

 

This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, tax, legal or accounting advice.

Summer and Stock Markets

Upon the unofficial start to summer and the Memorial Day holiday earlier this week, the phrase, “Sell in May and go away… but remember to come back in November” may be a historically uttered phrase. Perhaps the phrase had slightly more significance before super-diversified mutual funds, ETFs and indexes entered the picture, but there are still believers in the concept.

More pronounced are data combining the old “sell in May” theory with the 3rd year of a US Presidential cycle.* Although last year’s late year 2023 gains – so far – cannot touch the strength of 2024 which is the 4th year of a US Presidential cycle.

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