Crypto Quarterly is Back!

Keeping up with developments in Bitcoin and the world of cryptocurrency is challenging, but not impossible. Especially with AI assistants (like Grok or Chat GPT) answers can be attained – literally instantly – to basic and complex questions. Having dedicated crypto experts and research teams on hand is helpful as well!* “Keeping up with crypto” is a relative term. Merely dipping a toe into the water to learn more is a form of keeping up with this evolving space, so go for it.

Here is a term that helps define how different the various cryptocurrencies are from one another: ecosystems. Cryptocurrency is not a single, big chunk of one “thing”. Rather, there are multiple ecosystems and thousands of interconnected cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin is the best-known cryptocurrency, most dominant and most widely accepted for making purchases at this time. Ethereum is another well-known cryptocurrency. Solana is another. Each operates in its own ecosystem and has extremely different qualities.

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Next Level Crypto – 4Q 2024

A handful of today’s readers may be super-advanced Crypto intelligentsia, but for the majority this is not the case. For those striving to understand digital currency, cryptocurrency, blockchain, spending cryptocurrency… and the differences in the meaning of these terms, you have reached the “next level in the crypto journey”.

Although, the present of crypto and blockchain is far ahead of simply understanding these terms. In the interest of advancing knowledge closer to the present, let’s look at a couple of these concepts and the greater crypto and blockchain environment.

At most basic, digital currency refers to any currency that exists online, whereas cryptocurrency refers to currency held as a record on a blockchain database. The distinction is important because it can have significant tax implications.*

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Bitcoin 2024

This edition of TGIF 2 Minutes will make a brief attempt at summarizing Bitcoin’s recent meteoric rise to around $95,000. There is still a huge segment of the population who might ask, “$95,000 for what?”. At the same time, Bitcoin has increasingly become an accepted form of currency, although in limited and illiquid ways.

One of the more obvious and possibly over-done in the short-term reasons for Bitcoin’s price rise has been the run-up to and aftermath of the recent US presidential election. Investors seem to expect in the near future a more friendly regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies overall.

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Two Notable Events of 2023

Taking a stab at listing the “Top 5″ or “Top 10” events of 2023 is challenging – and subjective. Less subjective is highlighting two events that got the attention of nearly all participants in US stock and bond markets in 2023:

  • The rise of interest rates to levels not seen in over 22 years
  • The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and at least two other banks

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Crypto Quarterly 2Q 2023

On balance, the news regarding cryptocurrency is still fairly skewed to the negative. But crypto remains alive, although widely a mystery to most of the population (including yours truly). Reporting on crypto is thus difficult – but even a small amount of information can be worthwhile.

One of the key events of the tragic crypto downturn remains the November 2022 fall of FTX and arrest of its founder. Interest rate increases also gradually revealed weaknesses in various cryptocurrency exchanges and functionality.

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Crypto Quarterly – 1Q 2023

It turns out that summarizing the current status of cryptocurrency following the past several months is much more complicated than it looks. If one event were highlighted, it would be the November 2022 fall of FTX and arrest of its founder who was “popularly” referred to by his three initials, SBF.

As early as February 2022 during the “Crypto Bowl”, or Superbowl LVI, there were clues of cryptocurrency irrational exuberance. Since then, major cracks have revealed themselves in the crypto industry and beyond.

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Crypto Quarterly 1Q ’23 – Stay Tuned

TGIF 2 Minutes – Crypto Quarterly for 1st Quarter 2023 will take a bit longer than previous editions. For perspective, consider several details from the December 2022 edition which concluded that cryptocurrency is not dead but on serious life support:

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Stay Tuned for Year-End Commentary

As Christmas and Year-End 2022 approach there is a long list of topics to consider, including:

  • How to quantify the first truly down year for the markets since 2009
  • What inflation and higher interest rates mean going forward in 2023
  • How to approach higher taxes for those still working and those receiving Social Security
  • The timeless investing paradigms that have not changed
  • How much to diversify a portfolio while still paying attention to risk and liquidity
  • How to approach Long-Term Care decisions, both present and future
  • Changes made to gifting limits for 2023 (limits increased)
  • Changes made to IRA and 401k contribution limits in 2023 (limits increased)
  • What is next for cryptocurrency trading and valuation
  • What to serve for the Holiday meal (perhaps the most urgent item on the list).

What topics might be on your mind? Stay tuned for a Year-End commentary!

Thank you for reading, enjoy last minute shopping and TGIF!

TGIF 2 Minutes – Crypto Quarterly, vol. 4

Crypto is, of course, not dead. But the world of cryptocurrency could be considered seriously injured. Here are a few stats from 2022:

  • Bitcoin, on fire in 2021, has seen its price drop over 75% from its record high. Since only May 2022, Bitcoin’s value is down by half.
  • Coinbase, the first publicly listed and largest US cryptocurrency exchange, has seen its stock drop 80% from the time of its listing.

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Crypto Quarterly – Vol. 3, Oct 2022

In this issue of TGIF 2 Minutes – Crypto Quarterly, a less rosy update with the bright spot being that fees to trade crypto have gone to “free” in some cases. Binance, a world leader in Bitcoin trading volume, introduced zero-fee trading back in June. (Note that as recently as July 2022, the “CEO” of Binance still says there is no headquarters for the company, as it is “decentralized”.)

Value-wise, in a year that has been unkind to stocks AND bonds, Crypto stands out as an even bigger loser relative to traditional asset classes – by over double in a number of cases. Take for example the price of Bitcoin which started the year at approximately $46,310 as measured in US Dollars. Most recent prices of Bitcoin are around $20,098, or down over 55%. Coinbase, not a cryptocurrency but a crypto trading marketplace (among other technology functions), went public in April 2021 and is down around 78% since then. Compare these crypto-related price declines to the painful year-to-date performance of -21% in the S&P 500, -29% in the Nasdaq and -21.5% in the Russell 2000 which tracks small company stocks.

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