Tag: Investing

Spooktacular Investing Times

It is Halloween, so with an intended pun it must be said: spooktacular times in markets and the economy continue. 

AI (Artificial Intelligence) is simultaneously spooky and spectacular. Nvidia, this week, reached a new milestone surpassing all other US companies with a $5 trillion market valuation. Nvidia’s market cap is now larger than the largest semiconductor companies AMD, Arm Holdings, ASML, Broadcom, Intel, Lam Research, Micron Technology, Qualcomm and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing combined.*

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Crypto Quarterly is Back!

Keeping up with developments in Bitcoin and the world of cryptocurrency is challenging, but not impossible. Especially with AI assistants (like Grok or Chat GPT) answers can be attained – literally instantly – to basic and complex questions. Having dedicated crypto experts and research teams on hand is helpful as well!* “Keeping up with crypto” is a relative term. Merely dipping a toe into the water to learn more is a form of keeping up with this evolving space, so go for it.

Here is a term that helps define how different the various cryptocurrencies are from one another: ecosystems. Cryptocurrency is not a single, big chunk of one “thing”. Rather, there are multiple ecosystems and thousands of interconnected cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin is the best-known cryptocurrency, most dominant and most widely accepted for making purchases at this time. Ethereum is another well-known cryptocurrency. Solana is another. Each operates in its own ecosystem and has extremely different qualities.

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Greatest Chart Ever 2024

It’s time for “The Greatest Chart Ever”, updated for 2024.

Please make sure the chart above shows on your screen! If not, please ask me to email you a copy.

Long-time TGIF 2 Minutes readers know this particular chart truly is a great chart* with data illustrating reasons to invest in stocks – and stay invested – for the short-, intermediate- and especially long-term. The information focuses on US stocks, namely the S&P 500, and lends to globally diversified stock investing, as well.

“The Greatest Chart Ever” offers needed perspective in times of volatility and uncertainty. Over a period of more than 40 years of intra-year stock market performance, the chart illustrates valid reasons NOT to allow short-term market moves (monthly, quarterly – or even yearly) to lead to poor investment decisions. Why? Please read on.

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Checklist for Down Markets

How did it feel in both 2015 and 2016 when for the entire month of January, the stock markets (the S&P 500) started the year DOWN 3.1% and down 5.1%, respectively? Isn’t January supposed to be an UP month? It did not feel great then and it doesn’t feel great at any time in the year.

The following is a worthwhile commentary and check list (from a 2014 edition of TGIF 2 Minutes) that can serve as a “gut check” for investing when markets experience months or longer periods of meaningful declines. Even if you have read these before, consider reviewing again for perspective and direction.

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Beyond the Magnificent Seven

It’s summer and it’s HOT. Today’s will be a short and sweet edition of TGIF 2 Minutes.

The title for today was almost simply, “Beyond the Magnificent”. But a quick note on the “Magnificent Seven“ is in order.

The seven companies are, of course, Amazon, Apple, Meta (Facebook), Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. This week – and the past several weeks – have seen volatility and shifts of short-term leadership in the stock markets from the Magnificent Seven growth companies to smaller and more value-oriented ones.

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Inflation vs. Interest Rates Stand-Off

If the “land the inflation airplane” graphic (originally pictured in October 2022) indicated a US Federal Reserve trying to “land” inflation, then the current graphic would look like a slowly unfolding aborted airplane landing.

To summarize, prices of a number of key consumer items are NOT coming down fast enough to lower inflation in a meaningful way – even if the media has convinced Americans that $5 or $7 for a dozen eggs is “a relief”.

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Tax Season Time Crunch

It is tax season, which means time is at a premium. TGIF 2 Minutes is designed for this concept. Therefore, a 1-minute read today!

Preparing tax documents, expense spreadsheets, records of charitable deductions, W-2 forms, 1099’s, K-1’s and all the rest can really be a hassle. Here are a few bright spots:

  • Learn something right now this year from every time you find yourself saying, “I am going to do this differently next year!“
  • Whether it is your filing system for tax documents and charitable deductions or set-up of online folders for rental property files, go overboard with keeping better track along the way, starting now for tax year 2024.
  • Make sure to ask your financial adviser about tax loss harvesting this calendar year. Last year there were UP months in markets and DOWN months. Make sure your adviser is possibly using the market’s down months to a tax advantage in non-IRA accounts.
  • If it is not already obvious, have a CPA.
  • Ask your financial adviser for assistance in compiling or finding tax documents. This task is always something with which I am happy to assist – with advance notice – for my clients.
  • Look at ways to make changes and tweaks to the way you are contributing to 401k and IRA accounts while it is still early in 2024. Changes can involve:
  • increasing/decreasing contribution rate
  • creating a mix of before- and after-tax (Roth) contributions
  • spreading contributions over the course of the entire year
  • Consider Roth IRA conversions in 2024.

Tax time is not always the most pleasant time of the year but all we can do is make the best of it. Thank you for all the positive feedback in recent weeks!

This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied upon for, tax, legal or accounting advice.

Doritos in 2024

Looking for Doritos at the supermarket? That may be difficult at certain grocery chains where the chips are being pulled from shelves – so far only in several European countries.* The reasons? Partly, to protest possible “shrinkflation”, that annoying occurrence of a company lowering the amount of product in its packaging but charging the same price (which also could be called a “rip off”). Another reason the grocery chain is choosing not to stock Doritos and several other PepsiCo products is persistent and unreasonable price increases by PepsiCo.

Apparently, consumers and certain supermarket chains concerned with holding on to customers, have had enough with price increases, especially on discretionary items (are Doritos a staple or discretionary?). The move by the grocer Carrefour could be a positive development for consumers in early 2024. What else would consumers, investors and savers like to see in 2024?

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Greatest Chart Ever… Even Better

Long-time TGIF 2 Minutes readers know that “The Greatest Chart Ever” truly is a great chart* with data illustrating reasons to invest – and stay invested – in stocks for the short-, intermediate- and especially the long-term. The chart focuses on US stocks, namely the S&P 500, and lends to globally diversified stock investing as well.

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Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead?

A short but necessary reflection on the “60/40 Portfolio”. (Hint for those wanting to move on to the weekend and stop reading here: the 60/40 portfolio is not dead.)

It would help first to define what a 60/40 portfolio is: an overall investment allocation of 60% stocks and 40% bonds (or bonds and cash). But even “stocks” and “bonds” can be too subjectively defined by the average investor. When it comes to a diversified 60/40 portfolio, the stocks category includes globally diversified equities of all sizes (large & small), styles (value & growth) and industries (all tech – not only super-AI tech – financials, energy, consumer goods, etc.). The bonds category can open a huge “can of worms” because a typical bond fund in a 401k account contains far riskier and longer-dated bonds than meant for the “steady, safe” portion of a retirement savings portfolio. Therefore, the bond category can do its best long-term work when invested in high quality, shorter-term bonds and cash instruments. Please ask me more about this topic.

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